Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.Pakistan KSE-100 index rose 0.8% to 110,933.10.Musk showed that robots conquer rugged terrain without relying on visual system. Tesla released a video showing the latest progress of its humanoid robot Optimus walking on complex terrain. The video shows that Optimus can walk steadily on a hill slope covered with mulch. Tesla CEO Elon Musk said on social media that the robot can control its electric limbs through neural networks and can walk on this rugged terrain without remote control.
"Nature" announced the top ten figures in 2024, and two China scientists were selected. On the 9th, the website of the British magazine "Nature" released the list of the top ten figures promoting scientific development in 2024. Among them, two China scientists were selected. The list was compiled by the editors of Nature magazine to record the important scientific progress, events and some key figures this year. Among them, two China researchers who were selected as the top ten were Xu Huji, a rheumatologist from the PLA Naval Medical University, and Li Chunlai, deputy chief designer of the Chang 'e VI mission and a researcher at the National Astronomical Observatory of the Chinese Academy of Sciences. Dr. Xu Huji bravely tried to treat autoimmune diseases with CAR-T cell therapy, which brought hope for the mass production of CAR-T cell therapy. Li Chunlai was a key figure in determining the landing site of Chang 'e-6 probe on the moon, and was also one of the first scientists to analyze the returned samples.At the close of early trading, the main contracts of domestic futures rose more and fell less. Coke and BR rubber rose by more than 3%, while rebar, glass, hot coil, iron ore and Shanghai Bank rose by more than 2%. In terms of decline, the European line of container transportation fell by nearly 3%, while asphalt, alumina and No.20 glue fell by more than 1%.Treasury futures closed in early trading, with 2-year Treasury futures (TS) up 0.14%, 5-year Treasury futures (TF) up 0.42%, 10-year Treasury futures (T) up 0.64% and 30-year Treasury futures (TL) up 1.23%.
AUD/USD fell in the short term, and the intraday decline expanded to 0.8%, after the Reserve Bank of Australia announced its interest rate decision.Morgan Stanley published a research report that Jingdong Logistics management predicted that the net profit growth in FY 2024 would increase by 49% year-on-year, far exceeding the bank's expected 30% increase. As for the profit growth forecast for next year, it is 9% year-on-year. The bank also believes that the acquisition of Jingdong Logistics across the remaining rights and interests of Express is positive and is expected to have further synergy. Morgan Stanley set the target price of H shares of Jingdong Logistics at HK$ 13.1, giving it a rating of "keeping pace with the market".Australian Treasury Secretary chalmers: We will hold consultations with the Shadow Minister on the composition of the new Reserve Bank of Australia. Substantial progress has been made in fighting inflation.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13